COVID-19 Actuaries Response Group

Will Health Insurers be Unlikely Winners?

Bulletin 18 | Adrian Baskir

Covid-19 presents a significant disruption to the healthcare supply chain with unprecedented consequences to the health insurance sector. Health insurance typically affords its customers access to quicker and in some cases, perceived better quality of care. But public healthcare has become the only option for COVID-19 treatment in some of these countries. In the UK, independent hospitals are currently re-provisioned to the NHS, so access for non-urgent non-COVID-19 treatment is temporarily reduced. In other countries, lockdown measures, rather than re-provisioning, would reduce access to non-COVID-19 treatment.

Health insurers are expected to see significant fall in claims during the COVID-19 disruption period followed by a prolonged claims “rebound” after that. On balance, net gains are expected over time and many are exploring mechanisms to ensure that customers are not disadvantaged in the process.

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Adrian Baskir

Chief Commercial Actuary
Bupa Insurance

Adrian has over 30 years experience in the insurance industry with over 20 years’ experience specifically in health insurance. He has worked at Bupa for over 9 years and has been in his current role since 2019 having previously been Chief Actuary in International Markets. He previously held senior roles at Old Mutual both in South Africa and UK.

He has been very active within the actuarial profession where he is currently Chair of the International Actuarial Association Health Section (IAAHS) and a Member of the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries (IFoA) Health & Care Board. He was President of the Actuarial Society of South Africa in 2006/7 and also served 3 years on the IFOA Council.

Adrian obtained his B Bus Sci (Hons) degree from the University of Cape Town in 1985 and qualified as a Fellow of the Institute of Actuaries in 1991. He moved from South Africa to the UK in 2009 and lives and works in London.

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