COVID-19 Actuaries Response Group
Clinician preparing vaccine

Vaccines – What Happens Next?

As the journey to find a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine continues, we explore what might happen when we reach the finishing line in a UK context. How many people need to be vaccinated to provide herd immunity?

The practicalities of administering vaccines to the majority of the population are also examined. Using the experience of flu vaccination, this is uncharted territory for the UK as only 13% of those under 65 were previously vaccinated.

We also consider the question of prioritising who gets vaccinated first. Do you start with the young and healthy or the most vulnerable? Or key workers? It’s possible that people will need multiple vaccines, and this too presents challenges.

Finally, how will the so-called “Anti-Vax” philosophy hamper rollout efforts.

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Adrian Baskir

Chief Commercial Actuary
Bupa Insurance

Adrian has over 30 years experience in the insurance industry with over 20 years’ experience specifically in health insurance. He has worked at Bupa for over 9 years and has been in his current role since 2019 having previously been Chief Actuary in International Markets. He previously held senior roles at Old Mutual both in South Africa and UK.

He has been very active within the actuarial profession where he is currently Chair of the International Actuarial Association Health Section (IAAHS) and a Member of the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries (IFoA) Health & Care Board. He was President of the Actuarial Society of South Africa in 2006/7 and also served 3 years on the IFOA Council.

Adrian obtained his B Bus Sci (Hons) degree from the University of Cape Town in 1985 and qualified as a Fellow of the Institute of Actuaries in 1991. He moved from South Africa to the UK in 2009 and lives and works in London.

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