COVID-19 Actuaries Response Group

Second wave non-pharmaceutical intervention responses

Bulletin 89 | By John Roberts

Over the last couple of months there have been different approaches adopted by the four nations within the UK to combat the second wave of COVID-19 infections. In this bulletin we explore whether the difference in approach enable us to demonstrate the relative effectiveness of restrictions. We conclude that all restrictions, with the exception of Tier 1, have a material beneficial impact on rates but that duration and behaviour before and after restriction can alter effectiveness.

 
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John Roberts

Independent Consultant

John is an independent consultant who has spent 37 years in the life industry, including 17 years at Canada Life and more recently 8 years at Zurich Insurance Group, where he was part of the team that established its corporate risk business, now well established in the market. Following that he was Head of the Life Pricing team at Zurich for 5 years, overseeing a wide range of wealth and protection propositions.

At Zurich he helped establish its small pension scheme longevity swap proposition, which involved setting up simultaneous reinsurance transactions to mirror the client contracts. He has most recently continued with this line of interest as a consultant, supporting Lloyds Banking Group in establishing its first longevity swap transactions.

John is a Fellow of the Institute of Actuaries.

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