COVID-19 Actuaries Response Group

COVID-19 and ethnic minorities: a triple risk?

Bulletin 114 | Matthew Edwards

Many ethnic minorities have suffered disproportionately from COVID-19: the spread of infection has been higher, and survival from COVID-19 has been lower per infection. Last year, the impact of COVID-19 on ethnic minorities in terms of deaths per person in England was around 150% what it was for the White population.

Now with vaccine roll-out under way, that relationship may be exacerbated by a third aspect – lower vaccine take-up in ethnic minorities. The already high 150% differential more than doubles to a differential of over 300% (given our knowledge to date of vaccine take-up rates).

Failure to unlock the full preventative benefits of the vaccine across society represents a considerable lost opportunity: COVID-19 deaths in ethnic minority groups are falling, but they could be falling more.

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Matthew Edwards

Actuary & Director - Willis Towers Watson

Matthew Edwards is an actuary working at Willis Towers Watson, where he leads the life insurance practice’s demographic risk work, focusing on mortality, longevity and associated analytics.

He has a particular interest in the interface between actuarial work and medical science.

Before his (circa) twenty years at Willis Towers Watson (via legacy Watsons and Towers Watson), he worked for Aviva, including several years in Italy, and for the Actuarial Education Company tutoring life and mortality courses.

He is Chair of the CMI, Editor of the IFoA’s Longevity Bulletin and chaired the profession’s Antibiotic Resistance Working Party.

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