COVID-19 Actuaries Response Group

The Friday Report – Issue 15

Bulletin 50 | Matt Fletcher and Nicola Oliver

Every week, more is written on COVID-19 than any individual could possibly read. Collectively, the COVID-19 Actuaries Response Group read more about the outbreak than most, so we’ve decided each Friday to provide you with a curated list of the key papers and articles that we’ve looked at recently.

In this report:

  • Impact of COVID-19 on all-cause attendances to emergency departments in two large London hospitals
  • Reconstructing the global dynamics of unreported COVID-19 cases and infections
  • Resurgence of reported cases of COVID-19 in the EU/EEA and UK
  • Treatment with ACE inhibitors or ARBs
  • Lung damage with COVID-19 vs severe influenza
  • NIHR / UKRI study into long-term health impacts of COVID-19
  • Proportion of COVID-19 cases in frontline health and social care staff
  • Lockdown and sleep
  • Genetic risk factors for death with SARS-CoV-2
  • Coronavirus and social impacts on Great Britain: 10 July 2020
  • Excess deaths in South Africa
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Matthew Fletcher

Senior Consultant - AON

Matt has over 20 years’ consultancy experience, including over 10 years as a specialist in mortality and longevity. He works in Aon’s Demographic Horizons team, advising insurance companies and pension funds on setting best estimates and evaluating risk for longevity and other demographic assumptions, both in the UK and overseas.

Matt chairs the CMI Self-Administered Pension Schemes (SAPS) Committee, which produces mortality tables that are used extensively in the pensions and insurance industries.

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Nicola Oliver

Director of Life & Health - Medical Intelligence

Nicola is considered a leading expert in Public Health and associated Mortality, Morbidity & Longevity risk.

Areas of specialist knowledge include; public health policy, socioeconomic disparities, impact of risk behaviours on life expectancy & future infectious disease risks.

Nicola supports actuaries from many of the leading consultancies, pension & insurance companies in Europe and the US, with underwriting, annuity pricing, product development as well as internal model calibration to fulfil regulatory requirement.

She leads a small research team within Medical Intelligence and continues to regularly present her work and speak at events for and on behalf of clients and to wider public audiences.

Prior to co-founding Medical Intelligence in 2007, Nicola worked for the NHS for 19 years specialising in Public Health, this followed many years in senior roles in Intensive Care Nursing and Paediatrics.

Nicola trained as a nurse and subsequently studied at Homerton College University of Cambridge, graduating with a PgDip in Neonatal Special and Intensive Care followed up with a BSc (Hons) in Public Health (Specialist Community).

Nicola has also studied Epidemiology with the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine and Statistics.

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