COVID-19 Actuaries Response Group

Mortality Impacts of the Pandemic – Survivor Mortality

Bulletin 34 | Matthew Edwards

COVID-19 mortality is associated with risk factors such as obesity and diabetes that imply higher ‘normal’ (all-cause) mortality. In this Bulletin, we consider how this may lead overall mortality of the post-pandemic ‘survivor pool’ to be lighter than it was pre-pandemic. We conclude that the effect will be low other than in subgroups with a high proportion of COVID-19 deaths.

This is the first of three bulletins looking at ‘post-pandemic’ mortality. Next we look at mortality analyses post-pandemic, and then the impact on mortality improvements.

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Matthew Edwards

Actuary & Director - Willis Towers Watson

Matthew Edwards is an actuary working at Willis Towers Watson, where he leads the life insurance practice’s demographic risk work, focusing on mortality, longevity and associated analytics.

He has a particular interest in the interface between actuarial work and medical science.

Before his (circa) twenty years at Willis Towers Watson (via legacy Watsons and Towers Watson), he worked for Aviva, including several years in Italy, and for the Actuarial Education Company tutoring life and mortality courses.

He is Chair of the CMI, Editor of the IFoA’s Longevity Bulletin and chaired the profession’s Antibiotic Resistance Working Party.

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