COVID-19 Actuaries Response Group
Actuary John Roberts appearing on BBC World News

BBC News – Cases and Hospitals

In a live interview on BBC World News on 29 December John discussed the very high numbers of cases in England. He focussed on London in particular, where the Omicron wave is most advanced.

A smaller proportion of cases are currently resulting in hospital admissions. John noted that this is at least partly due to Omicron being more able to reinfect those who have previously been infected, typically resulting in milder symptoms. There are still questions about how Omicron severity compare to previous variants.

There are tentative signs that cases in London might be peaking, but John cautioned that this is primarily driven by younger ages. Cases are still rising in older age groups.

The number of beds occupied by COVID patients has risen very sharply but to date we have not seen the same rise in the number in critical care beds occupied, a key capacity constraint for the NHS.

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John Roberts

Independent Consultant

John is an independent consultant who has spent 37 years in the life industry, including 17 years at Canada Life and more recently 8 years at Zurich Insurance Group, where he was part of the team that established its corporate risk business, now well established in the market. Following that he was Head of the Life Pricing team at Zurich for 5 years, overseeing a wide range of wealth and protection propositions.

At Zurich he helped establish its small pension scheme longevity swap proposition, which involved setting up simultaneous reinsurance transactions to mirror the client contracts. He has most recently continued with this line of interest as a consultant, supporting Lloyds Banking Group in establishing its first longevity swap transactions.

John is a Fellow of the Institute of Actuaries.

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