COVID-19 Actuaries Response Group
Clinician preparing vaccine

Monthly Medical Update – Issue 1

Bulletin 47 | By Nicola Oliver

The monthly medical update will provide a view of what we think the medical state of play is. For issue 1 we have chosen to look only at vaccines as this is the area of most uncertainty

An effective vaccine against the SARS-CoV-2 virus is championed as one of the most effective routes out of the current pandemic. There are six candidate vaccines in phase 3 trials. Successful development of one vaccine by early 2021 therefore seems plausible. However, there are then problems around effectiveness, safety, manufacturing, acceptance and uptake – making the idea of mass vaccination in the next 12-18 months seem implausible. Society needs to adopt a new way of thinking, and living, and apply protective measures that we know are effective now. This includes extensive testing, contact tracing and quarantining.

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Nicola Oliver

Director of Life & Health - Medical Intelligence

Nicola is considered a leading expert in Public Health and associated Mortality, Morbidity & Longevity risk.

Areas of specialist knowledge include; public health policy, socioeconomic disparities, impact of risk behaviours on life expectancy & future infectious disease risks.

Nicola supports actuaries from many of the leading consultancies, pension & insurance companies in Europe and the US, with underwriting, annuity pricing, product development as well as internal model calibration to fulfil regulatory requirement.

She leads a small research team within Medical Intelligence and continues to regularly present her work and speak at events for and on behalf of clients and to wider public audiences.

Prior to co-founding Medical Intelligence in 2007, Nicola worked for the NHS for 19 years specialising in Public Health, this followed many years in senior roles in Intensive Care Nursing and Paediatrics.

Nicola trained as a nurse and subsequently studied at Homerton College University of Cambridge, graduating with a PgDip in Neonatal Special and Intensive Care followed up with a BSc (Hons) in Public Health (Specialist Community).

Nicola has also studied Epidemiology with the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine and Statistics.

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